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Seven major events to happen in the global market this week

Wonderful introduction:

Spring flowers will bloom! If you have ever experienced winter, then you will have spring! If you have dreams, then spring will definitely not be far away; if you are giving, then one day you will have flowers blooming in the garden.

Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Forex Market Review]: Seven Major Events to Become the Global Market this Week". Hope it will be helpful to you! Original content is as follows:

After last month's major amendment, the U.S. non-farm employment data (NFP, became even more important. The prospect of the release of the jobs report is full of suspense, and there are two court cases that have attracted much attention.

1. Trade frictions may be exacerbated by Trump's policy setbacks

Illegal—The U.S. Court of Appeals believes that most of President Trump's tariffs are illegal, confirming the International Trade Court's ruling. However, Friday's new ruling allows these tariffs to remain unchanged until mid-October, allowing appeals to the Supreme Court.

What will happen next? The situation is undoubtedly confusing. Although investors prefer free trade, they also desire certainty. These tariffs remain in effect until at least October 14, meaning there is no immediate change. Interim measures may become permanent measures, while the U.S. Supreme Court has almost On all issues, the ruling could weaken the government's stance and increase tensions if the government tries to impose additional tariffs on trading partners. Trump has recently promoted tariffs on furniture imports and expressed anger at the digital service tax imposed by some countries, believing that these taxes are punishing U.S. tech www.xmniubi.companies.

2. Fed independence is facing a test again

Tuesday, U.S. trading hours. Can the Federal Reserve (Fed, Director Lisa Cook stay in office? President Trump fired her on accusation of mortgage fraud. Cook filed a lawsuit, saying it was illegal. A preliminary hearing was held on Friday, but no ruling was reached. The next discussion is scheduled for Tuesday.

If Cook is allowed to remain in office during the trial, it will enhance the independence the market depends on. If she is banned from participating in interest rate decisions, which will mean that the government's intention to reduce borrowing costs is more obvious.

The judge did not immediately allow Cook to stay on Friday, which may be a worrying signal for her and the market.

As with tariffs, temporary measures may be more important than permanent measures.

3. ISM Manufacturing PMI provides the first NFP clue

Tuesday, 22:00 Beijing time. The first clue to Friday’s non-farm employment data www.xmniubi.comes from ISM’s Purchasing Managers Index (PMI,). This forward-looking indicator fell to 48 points in July, further entering the contraction range. It is expected to rebound now, but will still be below the 50-point expansion and contraction dividing line.

In addition to the total index, investors will also focus on the price payment www.xmniubi.component, which reflects inflation. The industry seems to be concerned about the price increase – the score in July was 64.8.

4. JOLTS job openings are expected to remain stable

Wednesday, 22:00 Beijing time. How many workers have U.S. employers hired? This is JOLT The question S answered, despite lag. July data shows that annualized job openings may drop from 7.44 million in June. In recent months, the data has fluctuated between 7 million and 8 million.

Although the data is for July, while the non-farm employment data is for August, the Federal Reserve will pay attention to the release and become more sensitive to the labor market.

5. ADP non-farm employment changes are more important than ever

Thursday, 20:15 Beijing time. The largest wage provider in the United States was proven last month, and ADP data also looked pessimistic when official employment data were revised down. This makes the upcoming data even more critical.

After reporting a 104K increase in private sector employment in July, the increase in August is expected to be smaller. The release usually triggers short-term volatility, but also helps shape NFP expectations. This time, unexpected results may trigger a persistent trend.

6. ISM Services PMI is at a crossroads

Thursday, at 22:00 Beijing time. The last clue to the employment report www.xmniubi.comes from ISM's Services PMI. Most Americans work in this industry. The total index in July fell to 50.1, just the minimum for expansion. It is expected that there will be Slight growth.

It is worth mentioning that the preliminary reading of S&P Global PMI showed a score of 55.4 in August, which is significantly better. However, the ISM data is more authoritative.

The employment www.xmniubi.component fell to 46.4 points last month, indicating a contraction of recruitment, while the price payment www.xmniubi.component was 69.9, which is at a fairly high level. Overall, the ISM service industry PMI depicts a stagflation situation.

7. Non-farm employment data will prove explosive

Friday, 20:30 Beijing time. How is the U.S. labor market performance? The last non-farm employment data was shocking—not onlyIt shows that job growth in July was disappointing, at only 73K, and also an abnormal downgrade of 258K for the previous two months. The average employment growth between May and July was only 35K.

President Trump responded strongly, firing the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS, Director of the www.xmniubi.commissioner, who is in charge of statistics.

The economic calendar shows that August will increase by 78K. It should be noted that these forecasts may change based on the leading data released this week.

In addition to the correction, investors will also focus on the unemployment rate in the United States, which is expected to rise from 4.2% to 4.3%

The new month brings liquidity and The increase in volatility is due to the impact of the Bank of America holiday on Monday. Please be cautious when trading

The above content is all about "[XM Forex Market Review]: Seven Major Things to Happen in the Global Market This Week". It was carefully www.xmniubi.compiled and edited by the XM Forex editor. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thank you for your support!

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Seven major events to happen in the global market this week

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Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Brokerfor a Reason

Easy Access to 1,400+ Global Assets

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

market analysis

Seven major events to happen in the global market this week

Related News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason