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Gold price is at 4660 mark, waiting for the market to return from the holidays, and crude oil bulls are waiting for opportunities.

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Forex Platform]: The gold price is waiting at the 4660 mark to wait for the market to return from the holiday, and crude oil bulls are waiting for the opportunity to move." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:

In early trading in the Asian market on Tuesday (April 7, Beijing time), spot gold was trading around US$4,660 per ounce. The price of gold fell slightly on Monday. Although Trump once again said that if an agreement cannot be reached before Tuesday, Iran will "taste like hell", but Iran seeks a lasting ceasefire plan and resists the crisis. At the same time, Iran put forward a ten-point peace road map to lift the blockade in exchange for a ceasefire; U.S. crude oil traded around $112.76 per barrel. Oil prices rose in volatile trading on Monday. The market focused on returning from the holidays, reacting to the postponement of non-agricultural employment last Friday, and paying attention to the latest developments in the situation in Iran. Trump said that Iran's bridge power plant could be destroyed in four hours.

Stock Market

U.S. stocks closed higher on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.36%, the S&P 500 Index rising 0.45%, and the Nasdaq www.xmniubi.composite Index rising 0.54%. Among the three major stock indexes, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq www.xmniubi.composite Index closed higher for the fourth consecutive trading day, the longest consecutive rise since January.

On the one hand, investors are assessing the progress of the US-Iran ceasefire negotiations, and on the other hand, they are weighing Trump's threat to intensify strikes if Iran does not reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

According to the Iranian News Agency, Iran rejected the U.S. proposal for an immediate ceasefire and insisted on a permanent end to the war. However, relevant parties are still negotiating the terms of a potential ceasefire, which has brought some relief to the market.

In terms of economic data, U.S. employment growth far exceeded expectations in March (178,000 new jobs were added, the unemployment rate fell), but the ISM non-manufacturing PMI showed that the expansion of the service industry slowed down, and input prices hit a three-and-a-half-year high.

The market is focusing on the upcoming earnings season, with optimism that corporate performance will support the bull market. Although recent geopolitical conflicts have caused stock market volatility, but the S&P 500 has fallen 3.9% since the conflict broke out.

Gold Market

Gold prices fell slightly on Monday, with spot gold falling 0.4% to $4,654.99 per ounce, as investors paid close attention to the latest developments in the situation between the United States and Iran and awaited further signals on the deadline for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

U.S. President Trump has threatened to give Iran "a taste of hell" if an agreement is not reached by Tuesday, but Iran is seeking a lasting ceasefire and resisting pressure for a temporary ceasefire. Analysts at TD Securities pointed out that if the conflict continues, rising oil prices will intensify inflationary pressures, which may limit the Fed's space to relax policy and even reignite discussions about raising interest rates, which will be negative for gold.

Investors are also focused on the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s March policy meeting to be released on Wednesday, U.S. personal consumption expenditure data on Thursday and the consumer price index on Friday. Currently, CME's FedWatch tool shows that most traders believe there is zero chance of the Fed cutting interest rates this year.

In terms of other precious metals, spot silver fell 0.3% to US$72.81 per ounce, platinum fell 0.6% to US$1,976.21, and palladium fell 1.1% to US$1,487.22.

Oil market

Oil prices rose in volatile trading on Monday, with Brent crude oil futures closing up 0.68% at US$109.77 per barrel, and US crude oil futures closing at US$112.40 per barrel, up 0.78%. Despite indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, the rhetoric of both parties continued to escalate.

The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has blocked about one-fifth of the world's oil supply, and major consuming countries are seeking to reserve or reduce consumption; the United States and Iran received a framework plan proposed by Pakistan, but Iran refused to immediately reopen the strait, and Trump threatened to "go to hell" if no agreement is reached by Tuesday.

Analysts pointed out that some ships had passed through the strait over the weekend and became the focus of the market. Last Thursday, U.S. oil and Brent oil surged 11% and 8% respectively, the largest single-day gains since 2020. On the supply side, OPEC+ agreed to slightly increase production by 206,000 barrels per day in May, and Saudi Aramco raised the official selling price of Arabian Light crude oil to Asia in May to a record high of $19.50 per barrel higher than the Oman/Dubai average price. In addition, a Ukrainian drone attack caused the Russian Ust-Luga export terminal to temporarily suspend operations, but shipments resumed on Saturday.

Forex Markets

The U.S. dollar index held steady on Monday as traders weighed escalation in Iran against hopes for a ceasefire ahead of Trump's latest deadline to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Trump threatened in an Easter Sunday post to hit Iranian power plants and bridges if the strait was not reopened, but media said negotiators were making a last-ditch effort and investors were assessing the possibility of a ceasefire.

The U.S. dollar index was at 100 in late trading, the euro was at $1.1542, and the pound was at $1.324. The yen fell to 159.71 against the US dollar, approaching the 160 mark and a 21-month low; Japanese officials issued a toughWarning, but geopolitical turmoil supported demand for the safe-haven dollar, the market was skeptical of substantive intervention, and speculative yen short positions reached $5.7 billion, the highest since July 2024. The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has heightened concerns about stagflation, and traders now don't expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates until the second half of 2027, www.xmniubi.compared with two rate cuts in 2026 at the beginning of the year. The Australian dollar rose 0.49% to $0.692, still hovering near two-month lows.

International News

Iran proposed a ten-point peace roadmap to lift the blockade in exchange for an armistice

According to Iranian official media reports, Iran submitted a ten-point proposal on Monday aimed at ending the conflict with the United States and Israel. The package was conveyed by Pakistan, the main mediator, but it appeared difficult to resolve core differences before Trump's Tuesday night deadline for launching a new round of strikes against Iran. Senior Iranian officials said the proposals include guarantees that Iran will not be attacked again, an end to Israel's attack on Hezbollah in Lebanon, and a www.xmniubi.complete lifting of sanctions. In exchange, Iran will lift its de facto blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and charge about $2 million for each passing ship, split with Oman across the strait. Iran will use its share of the proceeds to rebuild destroyed infrastructure rather than seek direct www.xmniubi.compensation. Iranian state media said the proposed text "rejects a ceasefire" and emphasizes "the need to permanently end the war in accordance with Iran's demands." The media also stated that Iran has "demonstrated its superior position in the war." After blocking the Strait of Hormuz and shooting down a US F-15E fighter jet, Iranian leaders are said to have gained confidence. Although state media did not publish the full text of the proposal, they said it included an agreement on safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's demands for the lifting of sanctions, rebuilding infrastructure and an end to regional hostilities. Previously, the United States submitted a 15-point ceasefire proposal through Pakistan on March 24, but it was rejected by Iran. Iran later submitted a counter-proposal, parts of which were reiterated in Monday's package.

Trump said that Iran’s bridge power plant was destroyed in 4 hours

On the afternoon of April 6, local time, and in the early morning of April 7, Beijing time, U.S. President Trump said at the White House press conference that the U.S. military “has actually formulated a plan. Once launched, within 4 hours from 8 pm to 12 pm Eastern Time on April 7, every bridge in Iran will be www.xmniubi.completely destroyed, and every bridge in Iran will be www.xmniubi.completely destroyed. A power plant will be www.xmniubi.completely paralyzed, fall into flames, explode, and will never be used again. Everything will be www.xmniubi.completely reduced to rubble, and the whole process only takes just 4 hours. "

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Gold price is at 4660 mark, waiting for the market to return from the holidays, and crude oil bulls are waiting for opportunities.

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Gold price is at 4660 mark, waiting for the market to return from the holidays, and crude oil bulls are waiting for opportunities.

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